Projection · PPR
147.1
93–202 range
ADP (consensus)
389
as of Jun 22
Confidence
20%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 10 | 125.4 | 12.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 147.1 | 8.7 |
How we got there (v2)
11.12
PPG (aged)
13.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
147.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.71 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.12.