Projection · PPR
40.5
25–56 range
ADP (consensus)
142
as of Jun 2
Confidence
6%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024partial | 3 | 7.5 | 2.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 40.5 | 2.4 |
How we got there (v2)
4.26
PPG (aged)
9.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
40.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 4.48 PPG; age curve adjusts to 4.26.