Projection · PPR
29.4
18–41 range
ADP (consensus)
92
as of Aug 31
Confidence
6%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024partial | 3 | 7.5 | 2.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 29.4 | 1.7 |
How we got there (v2)
3.09
PPG (aged)
9.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
29.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).