Projection · PPR
187.4
128–246 range
ADP (consensus)
20
as of Jul 17
Confidence
57%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 262.7 | 15.5 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 176.2 | 14.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 187.4 | 11.0 |
How we got there (v2)
12.68
PPG (aged)
14.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
187.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.92 PPG; age curve adjusts to 12.68.