Projection · PPR
283.9
195–372 range
ADP (consensus)
66
as of Jul 17
Confidence
59%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 177.1 | 13.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 352.0 | 20.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 283.9 | 16.7 |
How we got there (v2)
17.66
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
283.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 18.59 PPG; age curve adjusts to 17.66.