Projection · PPR
269.3
185–353 range
ADP (consensus)
67
as of Jun 2
Confidence
59%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 177.1 | 13.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 352.0 | 20.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 269.3 | 15.8 |
How we got there (v2)
16.75
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
269.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 17.63 PPG; age curve adjusts to 16.75.