Projection · PPR
101.6
71–133 range
ADP (consensus)
272
as of Jul 17
Confidence
63%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | 78.5 | 5.2 |
| 2025 | 17 | 147.3 | 8.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 101.6 | 6.0 |
How we got there (v2)
6.14
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
101.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.61 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.14.