Projection · PPR
106.5
74–139 range
ADP (consensus)
279
as of Jun 2
Confidence
63%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | 78.5 | 5.2 |
| 2025 | 17 | 147.3 | 8.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 106.5 | 6.3 |
How we got there (v2)
6.44
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
106.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.92 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.44.