Projection · PPR
290.6
203–378 range
ADP (consensus)
137
as of Jul 17
Confidence
67%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 317.2 | 18.7 |
| 2025 | 17 | 304.8 | 17.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 290.6 | 17.1 |
How we got there (v2)
17.10
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
290.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 18.00 PPG; age curve adjusts to 17.10.