Projection · PPR
122.5
79–166 range
ADP (consensus)
1243
as of Jun 22
Confidence
31%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024partial | 7 | 67.3 | 9.6 |
| 2025partial | 9 | 99.1 | 11.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 122.5 | 7.2 |
How we got there (v2)
11.72
PPG (aged)
10.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
122.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.34 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.72.