Projection · PPR
271.3
190–353 range
ADP (consensus)
121
as of Jun 2
Confidence
67%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 254.5 | 15.0 |
| 2025 | 17 | 318.2 | 18.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 271.3 | 16.0 |
How we got there (v2)
15.96
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
271.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 16.80 PPG; age curve adjusts to 15.96.