Projection · PPR
117.5
75–160 range
ADP (consensus)
359
as of Jun 22
Confidence
27%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024partial | 5 | 44.1 | 8.8 |
| 2025partial | 9 | 120.3 | 13.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 117.5 | 6.9 |
How we got there (v2)
11.71
PPG (aged)
10.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
117.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.32 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.71.