Projection · PPR
79.5
57–102 range
ADP (consensus)
286
as of Jul 17
Confidence
76%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023partial | 5 | 14.8 | 3.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 96.0 | 5.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 94.5 | 5.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 79.5 | 4.7 |
How we got there (v2)
5.32
PPG (aged)
14.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
79.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 5.60 PPG; age curve adjusts to 5.32.