Projection · PPR
147.0
106–188 range
ADP (consensus)
98
as of Jul 17
Confidence
82%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 239.3 | 14.1 |
| 2024 | 16 | 174.6 | 10.9 |
| 2025partial | 9 | 106.9 | 11.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 147.0 | 8.6 |
How we got there (v2)
10.61
PPG (aged)
13.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
147.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.41 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.61.