Projection · PPR
105.4
76–135 range
ADP (consensus)
162
as of Jun 2
Confidence
80%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | 150.3 | 9.4 |
| 2024 | 13 | 100.8 | 7.8 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 126.1 | 10.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 105.4 | 6.2 |
How we got there (v2)
8.13
PPG (aged)
13.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
105.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).