Projection · PPR
171.1
126–216 range
ADP (consensus)
117
as of Jul 17
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13 | 114.5 | 8.8 |
| 2024 | 16 | 124.5 | 7.8 |
| 2025 | 17 | 220.6 | 13.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 171.1 | 10.1 |
How we got there (v2)
10.52
PPG (aged)
16.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
171.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).