Projection · PPR
154.0
105–203 range
ADP (consensus)
22
as of Jul 17
Confidence
55%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | 212.5 | 13.3 |
| 2024partial | 4 | 64.9 | 16.2 |
| 2025partial | 8 | 150.1 | 18.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 154.0 | 9.1 |
How we got there (v2)
15.19
PPG (aged)
10.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
154.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).