Projection · PPR
144.3
106–183 range
ADP (consensus)
128
as of Jul 17
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 94.0 | 5.5 |
| 2024 | 15 | 174.7 | 11.6 |
| 2025 | 13 | 171.2 | 13.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 144.3 | 8.5 |
How we got there (v2)
9.65
PPG (aged)
15.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
144.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.94 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.65.