Projection · PPR
150.7
110–191 range
ADP (consensus)
134
as of Jun 2
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 94.0 | 5.5 |
| 2024 | 15 | 174.7 | 11.6 |
| 2025 | 13 | 171.2 | 13.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 150.7 | 8.9 |
How we got there (v2)
10.07
PPG (aged)
15.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
150.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.39 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.07.