Projection · PPR
154.3
115–194 range
ADP (consensus)
144
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | 106.1 | 6.6 |
| 2024 | 17 | 186.9 | 11.0 |
| 2025 | 16 | 181.4 | 11.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 154.3 | 9.1 |
How we got there (v2)
9.33
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
154.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).