Projection · PPR
132.8
98–168 range
ADP (consensus)
212
as of Jul 17
Confidence
92%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13 | 71.8 | 5.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 129.3 | 7.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 161.7 | 9.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 132.8 | 7.8 |
How we got there (v2)
8.06
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
132.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.31 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.06.