Projection · PPR
130.1
96–164 range
ADP (consensus)
228
as of Jun 2
Confidence
92%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13 | 71.8 | 5.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 129.3 | 7.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 161.7 | 9.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 130.1 | 7.7 |
How we got there (v2)
7.90
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
130.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.15 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.90.