Projection · PPR
101.2
70–132 range
ADP (consensus)
283
as of Jul 17
Confidence
63%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023partial | 3 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 15 | 121.9 | 8.1 |
| 2025 | 14 | 124.1 | 8.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 101.2 | 6.0 |
How we got there (v2)
7.37
PPG (aged)
13.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
101.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.59 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.37.