Projection · PPR
108.5
75–142 range
ADP (consensus)
272
as of Jun 2
Confidence
63%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023partial | 3 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 15 | 121.9 | 8.1 |
| 2025 | 14 | 124.1 | 8.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 108.5 | 6.4 |
How we got there (v2)
7.90
PPG (aged)
13.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
108.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.15 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.90.