Projection · PPR
118.7
87–150 range
ADP (consensus)
669
as of Jun 22
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 14 | 107.2 | 7.7 |
| 2024 | 16 | 147.7 | 9.2 |
| 2025 | 16 | 95.8 | 6.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 118.7 | 7.0 |
How we got there (v2)
7.39
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
118.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.62 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.39.