Projection · PPR
157.7
116–199 range
ADP (consensus)
132
as of Jul 17
Confidence
92%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 157.1 | 9.2 |
| 2024 | 14 | 183.5 | 13.1 |
| 2025 | 16 | 138.4 | 8.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 157.7 | 9.3 |
How we got there (v2)
9.81
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
157.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.12 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.81.