Projection · PPR
317.9
232–404 range
ADP (consensus)
4
as of Jul 17
Confidence
86%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 298.5 | 17.6 |
| 2024partial | 11 | 206.6 | 18.8 |
| 2025 | 16 | 375.0 | 23.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 317.9 | 18.7 |
How we got there (v2)
20.55
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
317.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 21.19 PPG; age curve adjusts to 20.55.