Projection · PPR
226.0
169–283 range
ADP (consensus)
51
as of Jul 17
Confidence
98%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | 206.4 | 12.9 |
| 2024 | 17 | 209.5 | 12.3 |
| 2025 | 17 | 243.3 | 14.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 226.0 | 13.3 |
How we got there (v2)
13.40
PPG (aged)
16.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
226.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.82 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.40.