Projection · PPR
229.6
169–290 range
ADP (consensus)
218
as of Jul 17
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 15 | 276.0 | 18.4 |
| 2024 | 17 | 220.4 | 13.0 |
| 2025 | 14 | 208.5 | 14.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 229.6 | 13.5 |
How we got there (v2)
14.59
PPG (aged)
15.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
229.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 15.36 PPG; age curve adjusts to 14.59.