Projection · PPR
166.7
123–211 range
ADP (consensus)
118
as of Jul 17
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 221.3 | 13.0 |
| 2024 | 15 | 212.5 | 14.2 |
| 2025 | 14 | 135.1 | 9.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 166.7 | 9.8 |
How we got there (v2)
10.69
PPG (aged)
15.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
166.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.02 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.69.