Projection · PPR
228.4
167–290 range
ADP (consensus)
26
as of Jul 17
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023partial | 12 | 53.5 | 4.5 |
| 2024 | 16 | 255.0 | 15.9 |
| 2025 | 17 | 282.6 | 16.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 228.4 | 13.4 |
How we got there (v2)
14.16
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
228.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).