Projection · PPR
309.2
230–388 range
ADP (consensus)
2
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 15 | 242.1 | 16.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 362.9 | 21.3 |
| 2025 | 17 | 366.9 | 21.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 309.2 | 18.2 |
How we got there (v2)
18.48
PPG (aged)
16.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
309.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).