Projection · PPR
260.2
195–325 range
ADP (consensus)
5
as of Jun 2
Confidence
100%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 149.8 | 8.8 |
| 2024 | 17 | 253.0 | 14.9 |
| 2025 | 17 | 359.9 | 21.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 260.2 | 15.3 |
How we got there (v2)
15.31
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
260.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 15.78 PPG; age curve adjusts to 15.31.