Projection · PPR
277.3
208–347 range
ADP (consensus)
6
as of Jul 17
Confidence
100%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 149.8 | 8.8 |
| 2024 | 17 | 253.0 | 14.9 |
| 2025 | 17 | 359.9 | 21.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 277.3 | 16.3 |
How we got there (v2)
16.31
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
277.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 16.82 PPG; age curve adjusts to 16.31.