Projection · PPR
132.4
94–171 range
ADP (consensus)
104
as of Jul 17
Confidence
75%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023partial | 8 | 39.2 | 4.9 |
| 2024 | 14 | 97.0 | 6.9 |
| 2025 | 16 | 184.7 | 11.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 132.4 | 7.8 |
How we got there (v2)
8.90
PPG (aged)
14.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
132.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.18 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.90.