Projection · PPR
131.7
94–170 range
ADP (consensus)
107
as of Jun 2
Confidence
75%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023partial | 8 | 39.2 | 4.9 |
| 2024 | 14 | 97.0 | 6.9 |
| 2025 | 16 | 184.7 | 11.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 131.7 | 7.7 |
How we got there (v2)
8.86
PPG (aged)
14.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
131.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.13 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.86.