Projection · PPR
92.0
67–117 range
ADP (consensus)
306
as of Jul 17
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 15 | 119.8 | 8.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 110.5 | 6.5 |
| 2025 | 13 | 75.8 | 5.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 92.0 | 5.4 |
How we got there (v2)
6.10
PPG (aged)
15.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
92.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.28 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.10.