Projection · PPR
96.2
71–122 range
ADP (consensus)
301
as of Jun 2
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 15 | 119.8 | 8.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 110.5 | 6.5 |
| 2025 | 13 | 75.8 | 5.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 96.2 | 5.7 |
How we got there (v2)
6.38
PPG (aged)
15.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
96.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.57 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.38.