Projection · PPR
115.2
82–148 range
ADP (consensus)
111
as of Jul 17
Confidence
76%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 14 | 78.5 | 5.6 |
| 2024 | 17 | 163.3 | 9.6 |
| 2025partial | 8 | 117.2 | 14.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 115.2 | 6.8 |
How we got there (v2)
8.64
PPG (aged)
13.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
115.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.29 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.64.