Projection · PPR
105.7
76–136 range
ADP (consensus)
104
as of Jun 2
Confidence
76%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 14 | 78.5 | 5.6 |
| 2024 | 17 | 163.3 | 9.6 |
| 2025partial | 8 | 117.2 | 14.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 105.7 | 6.2 |
How we got there (v2)
7.93
PPG (aged)
13.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
105.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.53 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.93.