Projection · PPR
78.2
55–102 range
ADP (consensus)
206
as of Jun 2
Confidence
65%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023partial | 7 | 14.5 | 2.1 |
| 2024 | 14 | 91.1 | 6.5 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 118.0 | 9.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 78.2 | 4.6 |
How we got there (v2)
6.49
PPG (aged)
12.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
78.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.98 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.49.