Projection · PPR
87.6
61–114 range
ADP (consensus)
214
as of Jul 17
Confidence
65%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023partial | 7 | 14.5 | 2.1 |
| 2024 | 14 | 91.1 | 6.5 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 118.0 | 9.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 87.6 | 5.2 |
How we got there (v2)
7.26
PPG (aged)
12.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
87.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.81 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.26.