Projection · PPR
286.5
209–364 range
ADP (consensus)
15
as of Jul 17
Confidence
86%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023partial | 11 | 190.7 | 17.3 |
| 2024 | 17 | 299.9 | 17.6 |
| 2025 | 16 | 322.8 | 20.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 286.5 | 16.9 |
How we got there (v2)
18.06
PPG (aged)
15.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
286.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).