Projection · PPR
74.3
54–94 range
ADP (consensus)
167
as of Jul 17
Confidence
86%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13 | 24.8 | 1.9 |
| 2024 | 16 | 129.0 | 8.1 |
| 2025 | 15 | 53.8 | 3.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 74.3 | 4.4 |
How we got there (v2)
4.76
PPG (aged)
15.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
74.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).