Projection · PPR
150.5
108–193 range
ADP (consensus)
168
as of Jul 17
Confidence
76%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 100.5 | 8.4 |
| 2023 | 15 | 157.6 | 10.5 |
| 2024partial | 6 | 81.8 | 13.6 |
| 2025 | 18 | 156.6 | 8.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 150.5 | 8.9 |
How we got there (v2)
10.12
PPG (aged)
14.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
150.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).