Projection · PPR
104.4
76–133 range
ADP (consensus)
141
as of Jun 2
Confidence
86%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 31.8 | 2.6 |
| 2023 | 16 | 44.7 | 2.8 |
| 2024partial | 12 | 115.0 | 9.6 |
| 2025 | 16 | 128.9 | 8.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 104.4 | 6.1 |
How we got there (v2)
6.93
PPG (aged)
15.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
104.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.29 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.93.