Projection · PPR
184.5
137–232 range
ADP (consensus)
95
as of Jul 17
Confidence
94%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 93.3 | 5.8 |
| 2023 | 17 | 196.4 | 11.6 |
| 2024 | 15 | 124.1 | 8.3 |
| 2025 | 16 | 217.1 | 13.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 184.5 | 10.9 |
How we got there (v2)
11.69
PPG (aged)
15.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
184.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.31 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.69.