Projection · PPR
167.6
124–211 range
ADP (consensus)
96
as of Jun 2
Confidence
94%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 93.3 | 5.8 |
| 2023 | 17 | 196.4 | 11.6 |
| 2024 | 15 | 124.1 | 8.3 |
| 2025 | 16 | 217.1 | 13.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 167.6 | 9.9 |
How we got there (v2)
10.62
PPG (aged)
15.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
167.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.18 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.62.