Projection · PPR
108.4
76–141 range
ADP (consensus)
148
as of Jul 17
Confidence
67%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 135.0 | 7.9 |
| 2023 | 14 | 213.9 | 15.3 |
| 2024partial | 7 | 56.9 | 8.1 |
| 2025 | 13 | 87.3 | 6.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 108.4 | 6.4 |
How we got there (v2)
9.36
PPG (aged)
11.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
108.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.85 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.36.