Projection · PPR
130.2
97–163 range
ADP (consensus)
242
as of Jul 17
Confidence
98%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 97.2 | 6.1 |
| 2023 | 17 | 113.4 | 6.7 |
| 2024 | 16 | 113.6 | 7.1 |
| 2025 | 17 | 124.0 | 7.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 130.2 | 7.7 |
How we got there (v2)
7.75
PPG (aged)
16.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
130.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).