Projection · PPR
200.4
144–257 range
ADP (consensus)
26
as of Jun 2
Confidence
78%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 198.2 | 13.2 |
| 2023 | 16 | 231.3 | 14.5 |
| 2024partial | 8 | 76.7 | 9.6 |
| 2025 | 16 | 268.0 | 16.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 200.4 | 11.8 |
How we got there (v2)
13.60
PPG (aged)
14.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
200.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.03 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.60.