Projection · PPR
252.2
185–320 range
ADP (consensus)
34
as of Jul 17
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 8 | 30.5 | 3.8 |
| 2023partial | 12 | 255.0 | 21.3 |
| 2024 | 16 | 272.1 | 17.0 |
| 2025 | 17 | 263.3 | 15.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 252.2 | 14.8 |
How we got there (v2)
15.63
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
252.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).