Projection · PPR
158.4
117–199 range
ADP (consensus)
87
as of Jul 17
Confidence
94%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 112.3 | 7.0 |
| 2023 | 17 | 95.4 | 5.6 |
| 2024 | 16 | 161.4 | 10.1 |
| 2025 | 15 | 183.3 | 12.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 158.4 | 9.3 |
How we got there (v2)
9.82
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
158.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).