Projection · PPR
183.5
132–235 range
ADP (consensus)
38
as of Aug 31
Confidence
80%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 215.7 | 12.7 |
| 2023 | 17 | 213.2 | 12.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 251.9 | 14.8 |
| 2025partial | 7 | 99.5 | 14.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 183.5 | 10.8 |
How we got there (v2)
14.13
PPG (aged)
13.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
183.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).