Projection · PPR
178.0
128–228 range
ADP (consensus)
41
as of Jul 17
Confidence
80%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 215.7 | 12.7 |
| 2023 | 17 | 213.2 | 12.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 251.9 | 14.8 |
| 2025partial | 7 | 99.5 | 14.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 178.0 | 10.5 |
How we got there (v2)
13.71
PPG (aged)
13.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
178.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.13 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.71.