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QBDAL

Sam Howell

Age 254 yr expv4.0
Projection · PPR
113.5
74–153 range
ADP (consensus)
1424
as of Jun 22
Confidence
37%
model self-rated

Recent seasons (PPR points)

dashed = projection
18258-1114
SeasonGamesPointsPPG
2022partial118.318.3
202317257.515.1
2024partial1-0.8-0.8
2026projected17113.56.7
How we got there (v2)
13.23
PPG (aged)
8.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
113.5
Projection

Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.92 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.23.