Projection · PPR
235.6
175–297 range
ADP (consensus)
24
as of Jul 17
Confidence
94%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 166.5 | 9.8 |
| 2023 | 17 | 208.8 | 12.3 |
| 2024 | 14 | 164.4 | 11.7 |
| 2025 | 17 | 291.9 | 17.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 235.6 | 13.9 |
How we got there (v2)
14.36
PPG (aged)
16.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
235.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.81 PPG; age curve adjusts to 14.36.