Projection · PPR
172.4
128–217 range
ADP (consensus)
117
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 141.1 | 8.3 |
| 2023 | 17 | 267.9 | 15.8 |
| 2024 | 15 | 199.6 | 13.3 |
| 2025 | 17 | 143.0 | 8.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 172.4 | 10.1 |
How we got there (v2)
10.71
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
172.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.27 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.71.