Projection · PPR
112.8
83–143 range
ADP (consensus)
176
as of Jul 17
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 112.7 | 9.4 |
| 2023 | 15 | 198.1 | 13.2 |
| 2024 | 14 | 159.8 | 11.4 |
| 2025 | 17 | 62.5 | 3.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 112.8 | 6.6 |
How we got there (v2)
7.21
PPG (aged)
15.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
112.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.58 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.21.