Projection · PPR
272.4
204–341 range
ADP (consensus)
23
as of Jul 17
Confidence
98%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 61.5 | 5.1 |
| 2023 | 17 | 181.5 | 10.7 |
| 2024 | 16 | 243.8 | 15.2 |
| 2025 | 17 | 315.9 | 18.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 272.4 | 16.0 |
How we got there (v2)
16.21
PPG (aged)
16.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
272.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).