Projection · PPR
117.3
82–153 range
ADP (consensus)
82
as of Jul 17
Confidence
65%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 164.1 | 11.7 |
| 2023partial | 9 | 101.3 | 11.3 |
| 2024 | 14 | 105.3 | 7.5 |
| 2025partial | 10 | 132.4 | 13.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 117.3 | 6.9 |
How we got there (v2)
10.03
PPG (aged)
11.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
117.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).