Projection · PPR
205.7
149–262 range
ADP (consensus)
27
as of Jul 17
Confidence
84%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 202.5 | 13.5 |
| 2023 | 15 | 199.4 | 13.3 |
| 2024partial | 11 | 181.2 | 16.5 |
| 2025 | 17 | 191.9 | 11.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 205.7 | 12.1 |
How we got there (v2)
13.24
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
205.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).