Projection · PPR
207.3
152–263 range
ADP (consensus)
14
as of Jun 2
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 178.6 | 10.5 |
| 2023 | 16 | 174.4 | 10.9 |
| 2024 | 17 | 280.8 | 16.5 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 201.9 | 16.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 207.3 | 12.2 |
How we got there (v2)
13.92
PPG (aged)
14.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
207.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.35 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.92.